CCID is a consulting company that has come out with a forecast for IPTV in China. It states that there were 267 thousand IPTV subscribers at the end of 2005 and 552 thousand at the end of 2006. CCID has produced a forecast for IPTV in China that shows 21.9 million IPTV subscribers at the end of 2011.
A good summary of CCID's findings can be found at
http://www.digitaltvnews.net/items/070315ccid.htm
Our own numbers for China for 2005 and 2006 are right in line with CCID. However, we are less aggressive in our long term forecast. Our forecast for 2011 is 12.5 million subscribers, which is significant but much less than CCID's 21.9 million. CCID is closer to the Chinese market than we are, but we feel there is good reason to be conservative. There is a lot of uncertainty in China depending on the actions of the Chinese government. We will watch this market closely and will be happy to increase our l0ng term numbers as we see the market developing more quickly than we have anticipated.
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